Since 2014, many firms have utilized in California for testing self-driving vehicles. The record of firms which have obtained a allow can be utilized as a measure for the innovation course of related to autonomous car know-how. The graph beneath reveals how the variety of firms lively in California has solely elevated progressively from 2014 to the third quarter of 2016. A steep enhance follows in 2017. The slope softens within the first half of 2018.
After all it could be untimely to conclude that we’re already seeing the start of the top of the S-curve which is so typical for innovation processes. And the California AV permits can solely be seen as a proxy for the bigger distributed self-driving car innovation course of at present unfolding the world over.
However neither the variety of California AV permits nor the variety of firms offering self-driving car options will develop indefinitely. The time will come the place the business strikes into the subsequent section, the place the exploratory modes of improvement can be changed by extra systematic, managerial approaches and the place commercialization would be the major focus. A shakeout is inevitable. Time could also be working out for individuals who nonetheless wish to leap onto the self-driving automobile practice…
– 58 permits have been issued by the top of June 2018; One allow has not been renewed (Uber), making it 57 lively permits.
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-2018-11-18: By the top of October 2018, the variety of lively permits elevated to 60.
– 2018-09-07: By the top of August 2018, Mando America Company obtained a allow, growing the variety of lively permits to 56.
– 2018-08-07: By the top of July 2018, 2 firms didn’t renew their permits (Wheego Electrical and Bauer’s Clever Transportation) decreasing the variety of lively permits to 55.